Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 31.595431 35.994992 40.811536 46.480114 52.974562 60.189339 68.821504
2024-12-22 25.921331 31.755340 38.636934 47.369244 58.179261 71.153842 87.956126
2024-12-29 22.434601 29.342325 38.058415 49.902535 65.640831 85.923204 114.187772
2025-01-05 19.047008 26.466912 36.433340 50.870725 71.373407 99.630086 141.847863
2025-01-12 15.763014 23.170323 33.715960 49.934570 74.452795 110.457188 167.936010
2025-01-19 13.343303 20.678513 31.710353 49.666977 78.477838 123.433787 199.929923
2025-01-26 11.908236 19.414376 31.314448 51.775500 86.557251 144.139005 248.442695
2025-02-02 10.810469 18.495754 31.308103 54.525749 96.250423 169.393859 310.193061
2025-02-09 9.574112 17.134686 30.345923 55.497520 103.132423 191.288162 371.106605
2025-02-16 8.258613 15.411008 28.467706 54.497963 106.283294 207.138915 424.457116
2025-02-23 7.185007 13.949133 26.820601 53.634783 109.551499 223.926167 483.770479
2025-03-02 6.297903 12.695291 25.359410 52.872820 112.896047 241.599722 549.344780
2025-03-09 5.656931 11.850417 24.617626 53.579816 119.778186 268.835057 644.751914
2025-03-16 5.045492 10.963831 23.644420 53.625433 125.291504 294.451531 743.675128
2025-03-23 4.672489 10.529166 23.569121 55.699939 136.028735 334.840094 891.069316
2025-03-30 4.227996 9.857592 22.852218 56.141893 142.972748 367.759475 1028.704117
2025-04-06 3.720611 8.952531 21.440034 54.610504 144.624485 387.676243 1136.533244
2025-04-13 3.332397 8.268064 20.438593 53.931716 148.417029 414.328400 1272.322251
2025-04-20 3.126502 8.003482 20.436103 55.913748 160.068097 465.974015 1501.324610
2025-04-27 2.971433 7.843542 20.676845 58.631704 174.542996 529.718275 1790.488732
2025-05-04 2.750074 7.469134 20.283586 59.469695 183.644298 579.590112 2049.679710
2025-05-11 2.474744 6.899892 19.258040 58.232919 186.037616 608.910893 2246.179990
2025-05-18 2.238530 6.401981 18.350315 57.181948 188.842487 640.533322 2462.900052